NEURDAT1.RAW
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start 1955:4 - 1995:3 - quarterly - 191 observations - citibase
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                                  - everything collected in 07/96
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(40 years of data)
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Note: This file is created from neurdat1.raw, using neurdat1.prg, and
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has additional U* and Y* variables in it created from that gauss program.
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Note: This file with a few decimal places shaved off so it can be printed
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in 80 columns is in neurdat1.prn.
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LHUR is unemploy rate averaged from monthly LHUR into quarterly figures, %,SA
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GDPD is the implicit price deflator for GDP (INDEX,87=100)
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GDPQ is real bill. $ 1987 GDP
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LHUR is unemployment rate avg. from monthly LHUR into quarterly figures, %,SA
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INF is annual inflation rate (400*ln[GDPD(t)-GDP(t-1)]), %,ANN.
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FYGM3 is 3-Month t-bill %,ANN, sec. mrkt, averaged from mo. to quar., %,ANN
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M2 is real bill. $ 1987 M2 supply
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M2GRO is the growth rate, %,ANN of M2 constructed same way as INF, but uses M2
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Y* is a 1-step ahead forecast of Y using a deterministic model with c, t, t2,
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   and a 30 quarter rolling window of data
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U* is a 1-step ahead forecast of U using a deterministic model with c, i.e. a 30
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   quarter rolling average of the 30 quarters previous to the current quarter
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Y-Y*/Y is a growth rate over potential GDP which does not make use of any future
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   information, %,ANN
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U*-U is a %,ANN difference over potential U which does not make use of any
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   future information
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 __GDPD _GDPQ___ _LHUR___ __INF___ ___FYGM3_ ___M2___  __M2GRO__ _Y*_____ __U*____ __Y-Y*/Y_ ___U*-U____
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 23.10 1793.900 4.233333  1.735401  2.340000 1076.167  0.4463196 1761.319 4.294445  7.399201 -0.06111163
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 23.40 1787.000 4.033333  5.161285  2.326667 1077.900  0.6435394 1768.829 4.313333  4.109268 -0.2800005
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 23.50 1798.500 4.200000  1.705742  2.566667 1078.433  0.1977921 1770.802 4.322222  6.256584 -0.1222224
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 23.70 1802.200 4.133334  3.389931  2.583333 1070.867 -2.816200  1773.424 4.334445  6.490543 -0.2011106
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 23.90 1826.600 4.133334  3.361320  3.033334 1068.933 -0.7230759 1777.740 4.316667  10.99362 -0.1833328
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 24.20 1836.400 3.933333  4.989719  3.100000 1070.767  0.6856918 1790.343 4.258889  10.29009 -0.3255561
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 24.30 1834.800 4.100000  1.649475  3.136667 1069.633 -0.4238129 1805.365 4.166667  6.521634 -0.06666683
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 24.50 1851.200 4.233334  3.278637  3.353333 1065.300 -1.623726  1822.699 4.071111  6.254677  0.1622227
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 24.50 1830.500 4.933333  0.000000  3.303333 1064.233 -0.4007339 1841.685 3.998889 -2.429260  0.9344439
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 24.70 1790.100 6.300001  3.252125  1.760000 1063.567 -0.2504349 1851.066 3.977778 -13.17420  2.322223
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 24.70 1804.400 7.366667  0.000000  0.95666661082.400  7.020950  1844.452 4.033334 -8.685976  3.333333
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 24.90 1840.900 7.333333  3.225803  1.680000 1101.467  6.984901  1840.934 4.137778 -0.007353  3.195555
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 25.10 1880.900 6.366667  3.200054  2.690000 1112.967  4.154587  1848.713 4.265556  6.964238  2.101111
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 25.40 1904.900 5.833333  4.752445  2.773333 1130.367  6.205177  1864.280 4.374445  8.715386  1.458888
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 25.60 1937.500 5.100000  3.137302  3.000000 1143.967  4.783821  1881.497 4.463334  11.90612  0.6366665
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 25.70 1930.800 5.266667  1.559448  3.540000 1152.000  2.799034  1905.009 4.521111  5.415509  0.7455557
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 25.80 1941.900 5.600000  1.553440  4.230000 1147.500 -1.565552  1921.976 4.594445  4.146574  1.005555
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 26.00 1976.900 5.133334  3.088760  3.873334 1154.633  2.478790  1939.426 4.682222  7.728810  0.4511116
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 26.00 1971.700 5.233334  0.000000  2.993334 1161.067  2.222633  1964.021 4.745556  1.563958  0.4877783
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 26.10 1973.700 5.533333  1.535511  2.360000 1179.967  6.458855  1979.351 4.825556 -1.141928  0.7077773
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 26.00 1961.100 6.266666 -1.535511  2.306667 1186.900  2.343369  1988.330 4.920000 -5.478052  1.346666
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 26.10 1977.400 6.800000  1.535511  2.350000 1207.233  6.794548  1989.107 5.043333 -2.354320  1.756667
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 26.20 2006.000 7.000000  1.529694  2.303333 1229.400  7.278061  1993.321 5.178889  2.544240  1.821111
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 26.40 2035.200 6.766667  3.041840  2.303334 1243.767  4.647255  2006.092 5.288889  5.803907  1.477778
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 26.50 2076.500 6.200000  1.512241  2.460000 1262.867  6.096077  2026.853 5.338889  9.797828  0.8611110
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 26.70 2103.800 5.633333  3.007603  2.723333 1285.533  7.115555  2058.148 5.352222  8.872349  0.2811107
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 26.80 2125.700 5.533333  1.495266  2.713333 1306.000  6.318092  2092.247 5.341111  6.395546  0.1922218
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 26.90 2142.600 5.566667  1.489735  2.840000 1324.533  5.636406  2126.633 5.347778  3.003188  0.2188891
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 27.00 2140.200 5.533333  1.484299  2.813334 1348.167  7.074356  2156.211 5.375556 -2.970162  0.1577774
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 27.10 2170.900 5.766667  1.478767  2.906667 1376.433  8.299828  2177.760 5.413333 -1.260082  0.3533336
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 27.10 2199.500 5.733334  0.000000  2.936667 1400.733  7.000160  2201.318 5.468889 -0.330424  0.2644450
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 27.20 2237.600 5.500000  1.473236  3.293333 1422.100  6.055641  2225.794 5.518889  2.121609 -0.01888900
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 27.40 2254.500 5.566667  2.930450  3.496667 1441.267  5.355072  2256.251 5.567778 -0.310354 -0.001110900
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 27.50 2311.100 5.466667  1.457214  3.530000 1461.733  5.640030  2283.581 5.613333  4.820309 -0.1466665
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 27.60 2329.900 5.200000  1.451874  3.476667 1484.567  6.200218  2320.747 5.657778  1.577622 -0.4577779
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 27.70 2357.400 5.000000  1.446629  3.496667 1514.300  7.932091  2352.377 5.693333  0.854174 -0.6933334
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 27.90 2364.000 4.966667  2.877712  3.683333 1542.267  7.320023  2382.661 5.728889 -3.132871 -0.7622220
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 28.20 2410.100 4.900000  4.278183  3.890000 1568.867  6.840134  2406.597 5.757778  0.582258 -0.8577779
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 28.30 2442.800 4.666667  1.415920  3.873333 1581.200  3.132057  2434.754 5.780000  1.321828 -1.113333
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 28.50 2485.500 4.366667  2.816868  3.866667 1605.967  6.216812  2466.801 5.771111  3.032116 -1.404444
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 28.70 2543.800 4.100000  2.797222  4.166667 1632.567  6.571007  2508.996 5.706667  5.548744 -1.606667
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 29.00 2596.800 3.866667  4.159451  4.610000 1653.367  5.064201  2559.959 5.597778  5.756480 -1.731111
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 29.30 2601.400 3.833333  4.116726  4.586667 1653.333 -0.0082016 2614.050 5.482222 -1.935686 -1.648889
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 29.50 2626.100 3.766667  2.721119  5.043334 1647.867 -1.324654  2654.734 5.397778 -4.314448 -1.631111
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 29.90 2640.500 3.700000  5.387211  5.210000 1653.400  1.340866  2690.494 5.328889 -7.432671 -1.628889
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 30.00 2657.200 3.833333  1.335621  4.513333 1675.600  5.334854  2717.093 5.282222 -8.817161 -1.448889
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 30.10 2669.000 3.833333  1.331139  3.660000 1702.267  6.315994  2740.452 5.234445 -10.42922 -1.401112
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 30.40 2699.500 3.800000  3.966904  4.300000 1735.200  7.664680  2758.045 5.175556 -8.490856 -1.375556
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 30.80 2715.100 3.900000  5.228806  4.753334 1755.200  4.583931  2773.315 5.131111 -8.396418 -1.231111
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 31.20 2752.100 3.733333  5.161381  5.050000 1758.967  0.8577347 2786.409 5.086667 -4.925180 -1.353334
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 31.60 2796.900 3.566667  5.095673  5.520000 1775.167  3.667068  2804.115 5.026667 -1.029177 -1.460000
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 32.00 2816.800 3.533334  5.031490  5.196667 1785.067  2.224541  2830.906 4.936667 -1.993172 -1.403333
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 32.40 2821.700 3.400000  4.969025  5.586667 1807.600  5.017662  2856.028 4.827778 -4.807759 -1.427778
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 32.70 2864.600 3.400000  3.686619  6.093334 1812.700  1.126862  2874.085 4.707778 -1.320076 -1.307778
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 33.20 2867.800 3.433333  6.069946  6.196667 1801.267 -2.530861  2897.335 4.595556 -4.077530 -1.162223
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 33.70 2884.500 3.566667  5.979156  7.023334 1787.300 -3.113556  2911.578 4.503333 -3.720102 -0.9366664
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 34.00 2875.100 3.566667  3.545094  7.353333 1778.000 -2.086830  2923.254 4.434445 -6.589081 -0.8677775
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 34.50 2867.800 4.166667  5.839539  7.210001 1762.100 -3.593063  2925.604 4.368889 -7.903187 -0.2022220
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 35.10 2859.500 4.766667  6.896687  6.676667 1749.600 -2.847672  2921.509 4.322222 -8.489972  0.4444447
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 35.30 2895.000 5.166667  2.272701  6.330000 1765.933  3.716660  2914.777 4.296667 -2.713998  0.8700002
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 35.70 2873.300 5.833333  4.507160  5.353334 1789.267  5.250740  2916.451 4.276667 -5.918267  1.556666
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 36.40 2939.900 5.933334  7.767200  3.840000 1827.500  8.457184  2908.949 4.280000  4.256002  1.653334
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 37.00 2944.200 5.900000  6.539631  4.250000 1885.300  12.45537  2919.277 4.294445  3.415003  1.605555
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 37.40 2962.300 6.033333  4.301167  5.010000 1917.467  6.767082  2929.167 4.305556  4.524625  1.727777
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 37.70 2977.300 5.933334  3.195763  4.230000 1961.133  9.007072  2938.598 4.324445  5.268100  1.608889
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 38.20 3037.300 5.766667  5.270195  3.436667 2003.167  8.482742  2950.666 4.348889  11.74430  1.417778
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 38.60 3089.700 5.700000  4.166603  3.770000 2040.100  7.307816  2978.112 4.374445  14.98773  1.325555
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 39.00 3125.800 5.566667  4.123783  4.220000 2091.400  9.933853  3019.591 4.398889  14.06928  1.167778
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 39.60 3175.500 5.366667  6.107044  4.863334 2137.133  8.652687  3064.369 4.421111  14.50627  0.9455558
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 40.10 3253.300 4.933334  5.018806  5.700000 2160.634  4.374504  3117.061 4.444445  17.48294  0.4888894
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 40.80 3267.600 4.933334  6.922340  6.603334 2150.933 -1.799965  3183.443 4.463333  10.57439  0.4700005
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 41.60 3264.300 4.800000  7.767200  8.323334 2140.100 -2.019691  3239.630 4.491111  3.045990  0.3088887
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 42.60 3289.100 4.766667  9.501648  7.500000 2117.267 -4.290581  3280.438 4.522222  1.056233  0.2444446
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 43.30 3259.400 5.133334  6.519413  7.616667 2094.933 -4.241753  3320.785 4.553334 -7.394090  0.5800005
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 44.20 3267.600 5.200000  8.228874  8.153333 2068.100 -5.156517  3342.178 4.598889 -8.925657  0.6011109
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 45.50 3239.100 5.633333  11.59496  8.190001 2030.767 -7.286644  3359.444 4.648889 -14.32905  0.9844439
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 46.60 3226.400 6.600000  9.555244  7.360000 1997.267 -6.653595  3362.027 4.708889 -16.13639  1.891111
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 48.00 3154.000 8.266667  11.84025  5.750000 1992.633 -0.9290695 3357.486 4.801111 -24.24269  3.465556
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 48.70 3190.400 8.866668  5.791187  5.393333 2041.967  9.782600  3327.053 4.950000 -16.42937  3.916668
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 49.70 3249.900 8.466666  8.130360  6.330000 2071.967  5.834007  3308.684 5.115556 -7.106643  3.351110
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 50.50 3292.500 8.300000  6.387329  5.626667 2086.867  2.866173  3305.631 5.273334 -1.588941  3.026666
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 51.20 3356.700 7.733334  5.506516  4.916667 2128.000  7.807350  3309.316 5.431111  5.727364  2.302223
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 51.80 3369.200 7.566667  4.660225  5.156667 2174.967  8.732414  3327.463 5.571111  5.017239  1.995556
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 52.60 3381.000 7.733334  6.130409  5.150000 2199.067  4.407883  3344.431 5.710000  4.373679  2.023334
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 53.60 3416.300 7.766667  7.533169  4.673334 2247.900  8.785248  3355.721 5.854445  7.220942  1.912222
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 54.30 3466.400 7.500000  5.190086  4.630000 2283.633  6.308556  3373.012 5.998889  11.07476  1.501111
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 55.40 3525.000 7.133333  8.022308  4.840000 2304.967  3.719521  3398.694 6.130000  14.86523  1.003333
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 56.40 3574.400 6.900000  7.155800  5.496666 2327.200  3.839684  3437.447 6.248889  15.93654  0.6511109
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 57.40 3567.200 6.666667  7.030106  6.110000 2345.367  3.110504  3485.553 6.340000  9.369761  0.3266668
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 58.20 3591.800 6.333334  5.536270  6.393333 2348.800  0.5849838 3525.955 6.403334  7.469798 -0.06999957
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 59.70 3707.000 6.000000  10.17876  6.476667 2338.800 -1.706505  3564.804 6.442222  15.95552 -0.4422225
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 60.90 3735.600 6.033333  7.960510  7.313334 2330.567 -1.410675  3636.292 6.447778  10.92412 -0.4144450
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 62.20 3779.600 5.900000  8.448601  8.570001 2325.067 -0.9450912 3700.609 6.451111  8.538193 -0.5511113
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 63.50 3780.800 5.866667  8.274078  9.383333 2306.467 -3.212738  3769.182 6.451111  1.232965 -0.5844443
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 64.80 3784.300 5.700000  8.106232  9.376667 2285.733 -3.611946  3827.376 6.445556 -4.501859 -0.7455558
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 66.30 3807.500 5.866667  9.153748  9.673333 2269.933 -2.774620  3877.703 6.437778 -7.241730 -0.5711110
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 67.60 3814.600 5.966667  7.767105  11.84333 2233.733 -6.430435  3921.605 6.441111 -10.91445 -0.4744443
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 69.20 3830.800 6.300001  9.357262  13.35333 2185.100 -8.805084  3954.318 6.450000 -12.49447 -0.1499992
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 70.80 3732.600 7.333333  9.143257  9.616667 2137.600 -8.791161  3980.590 6.474445 -24.91988  0.8588883
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 72.50 3733.500 7.666667  9.490967  9.153334 2171.667  6.324577  3964.274 6.540000 -23.28534  1.126667
<br>
 74.40 3808.500 7.400000  10.34775  13.61333 2158.400 -2.451134  3935.630 6.631111 -12.92090  0.7688887
<br>
 76.50 3860.500 7.433334  11.13396  14.39000 2139.000 -3.611565  3923.951 6.713334 -6.468091  0.7200005
<br>
 77.90 3844.400 7.400000  7.254028  14.90667 2150.033  2.057838  3922.241 6.801111 -7.938469  0.5988887
<br>
 79.70 3864.500 7.400000  9.137535  15.05333 2136.367 -2.550507  3905.704 6.888889 -4.219878  0.5111109
<br>
 81.40 3803.100 8.233334  8.442307  11.75000 2156.767  3.801537  3893.615 6.964445 -9.298791  1.268889
<br>
 82.30 3756.100 8.833333  4.398346  12.81333 2186.134  5.409622  3858.097 7.065556 -10.57481  1.767777
<br>
 83.40 3771.100 9.433333  5.310822  12.42000 2198.134  2.189636  3812.007 7.172222 -4.292411  2.261111
<br>
 84.30 3754.400 9.900001  4.293442  9.316667 2208.267  1.839828  3776.081 7.266667 -2.296650  2.633334
<br>
 85.00 3759.600 10.66667  3.307724  7.906666 2252.134  7.868004  3749.638 7.321111  1.062671  3.345559
<br>
 86.00 3783.500 10.36667  4.678345  8.106668 2367.133  19.92054  3729.487 7.381111  5.793108  2.985559
<br>
 86.60 3886.500 10.13333  2.781105  8.396667 2407.133  6.702805  3718.312 7.444445  18.09297  2.688885
<br>
 87.50 3944.400 9.366667  4.135513  9.140000 2423.600  2.726936  3740.520 7.505556  21.80233  1.861111
<br>
 88.40 4012.100 8.533334  4.093361  8.800000 2449.933  4.322624  3775.439 7.560000  25.07372  0.9733337
<br>
 89.70 4089.500 7.866667  5.839539  9.170000 2462.400  2.030373  3829.713 7.592223  27.13381  0.2744445
<br>
 90.60 4144.000 7.433334  3.993225  9.796667 2490.500  4.538727  3904.583 7.596667  24.52679 -0.1633330
<br>
 91.60 4166.400 7.433334  4.390907  10.32000 2508.133  2.822113  3988.119 7.585556  17.88125 -0.1522219
<br>
 92.30 4194.200 7.300001  3.045082  8.803334 2541.900  5.349350  4067.108 7.583334  12.49945 -0.2833327
<br>
 93.30 4221.800 7.233334  4.310417  8.183333 2593.267  8.002663  4141.303 7.588889  7.775006 -0.3555553
<br>
 94.00 4254.800 7.300000  2.989960  7.460001 2609.233  2.455139  4210.508 7.600000  4.207727 -0.3000004
<br>
 94.60 4309.000 7.200000  2.544975  7.106667 2651.300  6.397438  4282.604 7.621112  2.465389 -0.4211115
<br>
 95.50 4333.500 7.033333  3.787613  7.166667 2669.233  2.696419  4360.279 7.650000 -2.456615 -0.6166674
<br>
 96.00 4390.500 7.033333  2.088737  6.896667 2693.567  3.630066  4421.490 7.684445 -2.803624 -0.6511118
<br>
 96.50 4387.700 7.166667  2.077866  6.140000 2776.533  12.13474  4484.259 7.717778 -8.613139 -0.5511111
<br>
 97.20 4412.600 6.966667  2.891159  5.523334 2834.167  8.218002  4526.896 7.760000 -10.09927 -0.7933334
<br>
 98.00 4427.100 6.833333  3.278732  5.353333 2880.467  6.481743  4563.576 7.796667 -11.96218 -0.9633340
<br>
 98.80 4460.000 6.600000  3.252029  5.536667 2885.067  0.6381989 4591.308 7.834445 -11.43972 -1.234445
<br>
 99.50 4515.300 6.266667  2.824020  5.656667 2874.500 -1.467705  4613.893 7.858889 -8.547515 -1.592222
<br>
 100.3 4559.300 6.000000  3.203201  6.043334 2867.600 -0.9613037 4639.613 7.868889 -6.924075 -1.868889
<br>
 101.2 4625.500 5.833333  3.573227  5.863333 2875.600  1.114273  4662.981 7.858889 -3.215157 -2.025556
<br>
 102.1 4655.300 5.700000  3.541565  5.723333 2900.233  3.411865  4704.913 7.808889 -4.218003 -2.108889
<br>
 103.2 4704.800 5.466667  4.286385  6.210001 2922.000  2.990913  4743.851 7.743334 -3.292754 -2.276667
<br>
 104.5 4734.500 5.466667  5.007362  7.010000 2908.366 -1.870728  4777.003 7.678889 -3.558989 -2.212222
<br>
 105.5 4779.700 5.333334  3.809547  7.726667 2901.667 -0.9223938 4799.205 7.613334 -1.625725 -2.280000
<br>
 106.9 4817.600 5.200000  5.273056  8.540000 2887.000 -2.026939  4823.252 7.544445 -0.468718 -2.344445
<br>
 108.1 4839.000 5.233333  4.465294  8.410000 2856.600 -4.234314  4843.050 7.471111 -0.334540 -2.237778
<br>
 109.1 4839.000 5.233333  3.683281  7.843334 2885.634  4.044914  4864.332 7.371111 -2.083103 -2.137778
<br>
 110.1 4856.700 5.366667  3.649521  7.653334 2909.433  3.285599  4882.263 7.251111 -2.094337 -1.884444
<br>
 111.5 4898.300 5.266667  5.054283  7.760000 2903.033 -0.8810043 4898.168 7.115556  0.010740 -1.848889
<br>
 112.7 4917.100 5.266667  4.281998  7.746666 2901.400 -0.2250671 4924.789 6.961111 -0.624523 -1.694444
<br>
 113.8 4906.500 5.566667  3.885269  7.476667 2880.233 -2.928925  4953.932 6.781111 -3.829852 -1.214444
<br>
 115.0 4867.200 6.000000  4.195786  6.990000 2846.533 -4.707718  4976.216 6.621111 -8.762957 -0.6211112
<br>
 116.4 4842.000 6.533333  4.840088  6.023333 2853.567  0.9872437 4975.256 6.483334 -10.71352  0.04999947
<br>
 117.2 4867.900 6.733334  2.739716  5.560000 2867.867  1.999474  4962.192 6.388889 -7.600828  0.3444449
<br>
 118.0 4879.900 6.733334  2.721214  5.376667 2853.467 -2.013397  4952.654 6.328889 -5.875968  0.4044449
<br>
 118.8 4880.800 6.966667  2.702713  4.540000 2844.500 -1.259041  4940.149 6.291111 -4.805471  0.6755557
<br>
 119.9 4918.500 7.266667  3.686714  3.893333 2852.500  1.123428  4923.421 6.275556 -0.399782  0.9911113
<br>
 120.7 4947.500 7.500000  2.659988  3.680000 2832.567 -2.804947  4917.820 6.270000  2.414042  1.230000
<br>
 121.1 4990.500 7.500000  1.323318  3.083333 2818.833 -1.944160  4919.563 6.276667  5.767772  1.223333
<br>
 121.9 5060.700 7.300001  2.633858  3.070000 2812.800 -0.8571625 4932.622 6.285556  10.38619  1.014445
<br>
 122.9 5075.300 7.033333  3.267860  2.960000 2785.233 -3.939438  4963.635 6.285556  8.998621  0.7477773
<br>
 123.4 5105.400 6.933334  1.624107  2.966666 2780.200 -0.7234573 4991.081 6.280000  9.161884  0.6533339
<br>
 123.7 5139.400 6.733334  0.9712219 3.003333 2787.733  1.082230  5023.090 6.276667  9.262064  0.4566672
<br>
 124.1 5218.000 6.533333  1.291466  3.060000 2784.200 -0.5071640 5056.451 6.266667  12.77967  0.2666661
<br>
 125.0 5261.100 6.600000  2.890396  3.243334 2782.200 -0.2874374 5110.962 6.245556  11.75029  0.3544443
<br>
 125.9 5314.100 6.200000  2.869606  3.986667 2776.967 -0.7530212 5171.054 6.233334  11.06513 -0.03333350
<br>
 126.5 5367.000 5.966667  1.901817  4.476667 2759.033 -2.591705  5240.502 6.212222  9.655405 -0.2455554
<br>
 126.9 5433.800 5.566667  1.262856  5.280000 2741.867 -2.496529  5316.308 6.191111  8.840106 -0.6244443
<br>
 127.6 5470.100 5.533333  2.200317  5.736667 2733.067 -1.285744  5398.655 6.167778  5.293509 -0.6344450
<br>
 128.1 5487.800 5.700000  1.564407  5.596667 2740.533  1.091194  5477.535 6.152222  0.749587 -0.4522224
<br>
 128.3 5544.600 5.633333  0.6238937 5.366667 2779.634  5.666733  5543.810 6.147778  0.056975 -0.5144450
<br>